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I'm done with Pot Odds
Okay- I'm playing micro tourney full of mega-donks. I realize this isn't the best place to learn "real poker" nonetheless a game's a game and they're all allegedly beatable. My goal right now is beating these small-buy tourneys- I play similar live tourney's with some buddies (also donk marathon, tho some skilled) and I want to win these too.
My problem with poker is that I tend to play passively. I wait to 'trap' the loose players with top 2 pair, set, or better or else I'm folding a lot or betting hands like tpgk reather weakly. Anyway I've been working to play "less scared"- more aggressively.
Part of my weak play is that if I have a small edge, like 55-65%, I like to bet modestly but not so insanely that I'm putting my stack up on a complete crapshoot. I dunno. I posted something on FTR that said "if you flopped nut flush draw in tourney, and were given a lil better than 3:1 with EXTREMELY DEEP STACKS- would play for stacks (go allin to call 2 allins)? Everybody told me, unsuprisingly, off course!! Insta-call.
Yes it is +EV ring game, don't really know how that fits into tournaments, but I mean, probablity says your FAVORITE to bust out, and tripling up early doesn't significantly increase your odds to win a huge MTT, so .... I don't get it. Reward seems like crap compared to risk.
Anyway, I just pushed AKo on my first hand of a mega-donk micro MTT b/c i was on BB and everybody limped, thusly, i figured i had the best (if one guy actually limped AA or KK wow gj for these players) also i understand pp is ahead... i was willing to take that risk. I got 2 callers, I hoped for weaker ace or KQ (usually favorite allin-calling hands for these guys) and anticipated a 44 or a 55 to call too.
I got A6o and JTo to call, and yup i busted. Ran the math on cardplayer, as i always do when i bust, and i was 43v38(jack-ten)v 15. Okay, i had 1/2 to win with 3:1 on my money. F'in A, right?
That was my reasoning too- after all, i had heard repeatedly that 'you gotta gamble to win' and to 'get ur money in good' and 'pot odds is king' and all this crap. But I've won these MTT's by nutcamping early (when blinds are insignificant) and only gambling significantly when steals/blinds matter.
Basically, I've tried "getting aggressive" by pushing small edges, and find that I can win a lot more v. calling sations if I push 70 and 80% edges for huge money or else play more modest pots. I'm done with the pot odds bull. If you put urself in a 51-49 for all the money enough times, you're goin out the door, busto. I'd rather I speculate a lil bit than flip a bunch a coins with a 5% edge and hope they all come up heads.
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