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 Originally Posted by koolmoe
IMO, folding up to JJ is weak thinking unless the chip leader is a verified rock. There are a lot of hands that a good player would use to challenge a completed SB or minraise.
Sorry koolmoe but this is just bad advise in a SnG game and in this current situation. The strength of your preflop cards need to be evaulated against the probability of you placing in money. In the current situation, we are 2nd in chipcount and 2 ppl are on the bubble or close. Given that 1 busts-out you are in the money. With one at 400 and the other at 600, there is an overwhelming chance you will place in money just by folding your blinds (I would suggest 75%+). There is also a very good chance that the 400 or 600 stack will bust out vs doubling up. We could talk through the situation but it should make sense that the short stacks in this situation are much more likely to bust (at least 1 of them) vs doubling-up.
So the general concept is why does one want to risk all there chips on a coin flip if they have a very good chance of placing in the money by keeping status quo? Agruably, if you did make the call and doubled-up and still was in 2nd place chip lead, where does that leave you? How much more likely are you to place ITM or first with 2400 vs 1200 chips and the leader has 3800 vs 6000 chips. I would agrue you ITM% is probably about 90%+ now, but is it worth the 50% coin flip of busting out?
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