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Example #2
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($15.40)
CO ($8.05)
Hero (Button) ($15.35)
SB ($11.15)
BB ($9.70)
UTG ($10)
Preflop: Hero is Button with A , A
UTG (poster) checks, 1 fold, CO calls $0.10, Hero bets $0.60, 2 folds, UTG (poster) calls $0.50, 1 fold
Obviously I am raising it up here to 6BBs to isolate the limpers and hopefully take someone to value town.
Flop: ($1.45) 4 , 5 , 7 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1, UTG raises $2, Hero calls $1
Eww flop. Either I am going to get no action, or someone has a strong draw, or I am nearly drawing dead. After betting, the poster min-raises me, which to me means total-air, he has a decent diamond that he is drawing to, or in a rare instance he flopped a flush and I am nearly drawing dead. However, I am getting about 4.5:1 on the call, so its really unlikely that I am going to fold.
Turn: ($5.45) A (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks
Well, a set of Aces. On a monotone turn. This kinda sucks. At this point, total-air is going to want to check it down, and he might have a tiny diamond to beat me. I'll take a free card and see if I fill up off of my 10 outs.
River: ($5.45) 4 (2 players)
UTG bets $3, Hero raises $8, UTG calls $4.40 (All-In)
Hooray, I filled up. Money goes in.
Total pot: $20.25
Results:
Hero had A , A (full house, Aces over fours).
UTG had 2 , Q (flush, Ace high).
Outcome: Hero won $19.85
Yes, I hit runner runner to take down a flopped flush or in laymen's terms, I sucked out. Villain was steaming after this, called me all sorts of names. However, he could have easily raised me harder on the flop, and bet the turn to get value from a worse diamond.
As played, yes, I made a mistake on the flop by calling the min-raise. However, I still think it was a reasonable call given what the villain usually would be showing up with, and compared to the villains mistake of checking the turn and calling a shove, my mistake is small in comparison.
Suppose he had check-raised me to a better size, say $3 or $3.50, I would be getting much worse odds to call (around 2:1), and it would set up a less than PSB on the turn. Even with the set of Aces, I can't profitably call a PSB on the turn.
Overall, the point I am trying to make is that when you make correct bet sizing choices and value bet correctly, you set yourself up for easier decisions on later streets. Conversely, when you make incorrect choices, you make your later street decisions harder.
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