Quote Originally Posted by RebornSky View Post
Sorry, I should have been more clear. The player with the Dealer button was pretty much a loose cannon, so I flat pre-flop hoping he'll 3bet with position. Unfortunately, that did not happen. Wrong thought process? Or should I just 3-bet AA in this situation?

I think I understand the bet-sizing part, but I am still a little lost on the winning small pots/losing big pots. It's actually quite a small sample size, 3 or so sessions (500 or so hands). I just noticed this trend, so it could be a case of getting unlucky with people calling my hands or my all-ins getting rivered.

Thank you for the help Boris.
That's just variance. Sometimes what you describe happens. Sometimes, you just rake in big pot after big pot and you don't seem to lose much. 500 is a very very very small sample. Don't draw too much conclusion from it.

How do you know when someone will call? You can't, at least not 100%. All you can do is get good reads and do the correct plays from your end and it will pay off in the long run.