Possibly the idiot question of the week, but what the hey...

What are we planning to do when we play A2o-A9o?

Just looking at some flop probabilities:-
  • AKo will flop TP/TK 29% of the time, with an 11% chance of a 4-Out Draw as a bonus
  • ATo-AQo will flop TP/TK or TP/GK ~24% of the time, with a ~12% chance of a 4-Out Draw
  • A2o-A5o will flop TP ~15% of the time, with a ~12% chance of a 4-Out Draw
  • A6o-A9o will flop TP ~18% of the time


X-referencing this with my HM database (filter: PFR=True, Saw Flop=True, HoleCards=A2o-A9o), i'll flop Top Pair Weak Kicker or Worse w/ a Weak Draw or No Draw (i.e. bugger all) >90% of the time.

This says to me that we don't really want to be taking these hands to the flop in a hurry.

So what kinda spots can we play?

Steal attempts from BTN and 3Bet bluffs vs. hi Fold-to-3Bet raisers seem to make sense, ja?

What about Iso raises? Presumably vs. 1 limper only, and preferably a fit-or-fold type?

And what if we get a call? Is it one-and-done OTF unless we hit 2 Pair+ or a solid draw? We're less that 45% vs. a tightish calling range.

Let me have your thoughts, O Great Ones.