hands from my first 6 Handed 2NL session

Originally Posted by sven00100

So would you say his range is probably AJs+, AQo+, 99+, KQs or something similar to this? I tried to be fairly loose in my approximation, hence the KQs being in there.

It's possible he has a bit larger range than this. Players at 2nl tend to overvalue broadway cards, and he may think he has proper odds to set mine so I wouldn't be surprised if he shows up with 22+

Originally Posted by Imthenewfish

It's possible he has a bit larger range than this. Players at 2nl tend to overvalue broadway cards, and he may think he has proper odds to set mine so I wouldn't be surprised if he shows up with 22+

I was at the table with him for ~100 hands before this, hadn't seemed to be doing this, I could maybe be edged into thinking he would play 77+, but if he is playing weaker hands to my 3bet, my read on him is off to start with. I'll assume he's playing 77+ and look at the stats.

Possible combinations of hands given this range, we expect him to hold:
3*2/2 = 3 AA
2*1/2 = 1 KK
4*3/2*6 = 36 (QQ-77; 6 each)
3*2 = 6 AKs/o
3*4 = 12 AQs/o
3*1 = 3 AJs

His ace containing hands:: AA, AK, AQ, AJs = 24 hands
Non ace containing hands:: 77-KK = 37 hands

Assuming any non-ace folds to a pot sized bet here.. damn.. I have a huge leak here.

the threshold for my making a pot sized bet profitable assuming anything sub pair of aces folds is 99. If villain folds 99 here, my post flop bet would be bad, if he calls 99 and anything below, my bet becomes better and better... Wowza... x.x WP sir