- the preflop range is reasonable, but you can probably assume that he would reraise KK+, so probably do not include KK+. He may have more suited aces as well and maybe a few more aces (this kind of guys have a hard time letting go of their aces).
- on the flop you can't really use that 44% because mostly this is in pots where he limped and missed. His range is tighter in raised pots so if you really want to use a stat you should look at something like "fold to a bet on a flop that hits his range in a pot that was raised preflop where he called the preflop bet". Besides, you need lots of hands on a villain for postflop stats to become meaningful, so don't try to use them here apart maybe for his AF to get a measure of his aggressiveness. That should hopefully tell you whether he would raise a top pair or set type of hand. So the reasoning would go something like: his AF is 1.6, not super high but also not completely passive. In a three way pot on such a coordinated board, against two opps, he should raise his sets and TPTK hands, so you can exclude 88, QQ, JJ and AQ from his range. Keep all the flush draws, open ended straight draws and you need some read to decide whether he calls with his second/third pair type of hands and gutshots with overs like AK.
Also when you type a range in the forum, type it first in Pokerstove. This will help you get them into the standard format.
- let's say the range you put him on on the flop is correct. Why are you removing some straight draws and flush draws from his range after he calls the turn?
For the hand:
- bet more on the flop: on this kind of board against two opps, you should make a pot sized bet.
- his range on the turn is mostly draws, almost always hands you beat and that you cna get value from. Bet at least 3/4 pot, if not full pot.
- I didn't do the calculations, but this Ac on the river is VERY bad for your equity against his turn calling range. Probably makes it <50%, so betting is doubtful. Maybe just a small blocking bet to try and see a cheap showdown, but probably check/fold to any kind of serious bet.
edit: oh yes and I forgot preflop: exactly what Keith said above: don't post, don't call the raise.
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