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Its becoming clear to alot of players that setmining oop isnt really worth it anymore, especially in a blind vs btn/co situation. The reasoning is that is fairly hard to balloon the pot and that villain makes less mistakes oop. We have a post flop edge so its still fine, i just wanted to throw that out there.
flop: the boards pretty dry in terms of villain's range, but with that said, if we decided to bet id much rather bet like 2-2.25. Just because we're either getting called by
{Jx, TT+} by betting 2.25, or...well actually i cant really think of too many other hands that would call if we bet smaller. Maybe some air like AK,AQ..
But anyway, for betting 1.25 to be better than 2.50, we'd need to be getting called at least 2x as often without considering the future streets (where larger pots with nut hands is preferable). And just kind of winging it, i dont really think thatd be true.
So if betting out was correct, id like to bet alot more.
Turn: this ones a little closer cuz i can see some jacks folding if we raise bigger. he likely doesnt have too many flush draws either so im not worried about that. meh
river: hrmmmm i think i like betting more still. maybe a gay bet. that way we'd still be able to get some value from the jx's and all his two pair/nut hands would likely raise. i think ur right that he checks back his jx hands so ya..i like leading for like 4-5ish
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