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Good implied odds play?
I made what could be deemed some pretty loose calls on this hand, but I'm pretty sure the implied odds justified it. Comments?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($9.39)
UTG ($11)
UTG+1 ($5.69)
MP1 ($1.85)
MP2 ($21.40)
MP3 ($1.93)
Hero (CO) ($18.35)
Button ($1.93)
SB ($1.70)
Preflop: Hero is CO with A , 5
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.05, MP2 calls $0.05, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.05, 2 folds, BB checks
Flop: ($0.22) K , 3 , 7 (4 players)
BB checks, MP1 checks, MP2 bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20, 1 fold, MP1 calls $0.20
Turn: ($0.82) 2 (3 players)
MP1 checks, MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.45, 1 fold, MP2 raises to $1.35, Hero calls $0.90
River (in white): ($3.52) 10h (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $2, MP2 calls $2
Total pot: $7.52 | Rake: $0.35
The flop call was basically a float, and it could certainly be argued that it was a poor call. I'm interested in comments on this call, too, of course. After it checked to me on the turn, I'm thinking the float was the right play, and I've picked up more outs, so I go ahead and try to take the pot down right there. When MP2 raises me, I'm pretty sure he has a hand, so that's where it gets interesting.
My pot-odds equity on the turn call is 26%. I have at least 10 outs to the river (22%: vs a flopped set), more likely at least 12 (26%: vs two pair), and maybe 15 (33%: vs a pair of Ks).
If I hit the flush or straight on the river and can extract at least $2 more, I can add this to $3.52 going to the river, right? Thus my implied odds equity is calculated as .9 into 5.52, meaning I only need 16% to make this always a profitable call. I figure a flopped set almost has to make this call and maybe 2 pair as well. Ks might not, but I'm 33% against Ks, so I don't really need the implied odds there. Am I on the right track?
As long as my plan is to check behind or call a small bet on an A, Kh, or 2h river; bet/raise up to at least $2 on any other heart or 4; and check/fold any other card, I think I'm making money on this play. Am I right that this was good play, or was it too loose of a call?
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