Get Better at Continuation Betting in One Lesson

0. What is your pre-flop range?

This guy's got a pretty high FTS so if it were just me and him it would be approaching 100% however there are others to act so we're probably looking at something like 40-50% here, something like...

22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q7s+, J8s+, 45s-9Ts, 46s-8Ts, 58s-7Ts, A2o+, K7o+, Q8o+, J8o+, 56o-9To


1. C-Betting Flop A: K 2 9

I'm not sure if this is the correct maths for cbetting here but for a cbet to be +eV on it's own in a vaccum we need (.45/(.45+.65))=41% fold equity and given he fold's to cbets 58% over a decent sample size I'd guess we can go ahead and cbet our entire range here profitably?

Not to mention if he calls we get to play subsequent streets in position.


2. C-Betting Turn A after Flop A: K 2 9 A

I'm generally more likely to barrel this card I think as it's a 'scare card,' especially if I have some kind of equity like an FD or I picked up a SD here, also I have a lot of value hands so my range here is something like...

22, 99, KK+, Ad2d-Ad8d, Qd7d-Qd9d, Jd8d-Jd9d, 5d4d-9dTd, 4d6d-8dTd, 5d8d-7dTd, JTs, QTs-QJs, ATs+, A9o, AQo+, QJo, QTo, JTo

Checking back all the hands that have SDV that aren't strong, like 9x, Kx, etc.

Unsure though how much fold equity I can have here, though it's certainly more than Turn B. I think he can fold a lot of TT-QQ, KJ-KQ, maybe some smaller pairs that floated the flop.


3. C-Betting Turn B after Flop A: K 2 9 2

This is pretty much a brick so I'll be betting a much stronger range here, checking back all my flush draws, etc.

ATs+, A2o, A9o, AQo+, 22, 99, KK+, KJs+, KJo+


4. C-Betting Flop B: Q 8 4

Flop is a lot dryer than Flop A. Makes me more inclined to bet my entire range as I expect a little more fold equity.


5. C-Betting Turn A after Flop B: Q 8 4 A

Again, the 'scare card.' However because the flop was a lot dryer I expect to have less equity when called here because I have far fewer semi bluffs possible...

ATs+, AQo+, 44, 88, QQ+, 9T-JTs, 9To-JTo, as well as any flush draws I picked up


6. C-Betting Turn B after Flop B: Q 8 4 2

Brick. Value betting here the vast majority of the time as he's not going to fold very much.

22, 44, 88, QQ+, AQs, AQo, KQs, KQo, QJs, QJo



I'm a lot more unsure on Turn A