h1

kk since many people are interested in how i play hands for some reason i thought i'd break down exactly what goes through my head street by street. I do mean exactly.


Preflop.
kk so here we are, nitty mcnitterton raises my bb otb and i has ATss. call. 3bing is pretty dumb against someone opening so tight, my hand plays very well postflop as i can flop the nuts two ways both of which ways have cooler potential against his range and I play well enough and he plays poorly enough to avoid reverse domination and getting owned from it.

Flop.
Ok so we flop trips. Sweet. check. he checks behind. Ok.

So his range for checking flop imo is
QQ-55, KQ,

turn.
okay here we go, time to lead, umm sizing, think think think half pot should get a call from like QQ, and JJ, and KQ and he folds out all else so I shall bet half pawts. (at this point if he was better more thought would be required he's not)

river.
huzzah. fullest of houses. at this point a lot of people would suddenly bet bigger for some reason, because they have a full house, they're wrong. His turn calling range has not improved on this river card. I bet half pot plz call with KQ QQ sir.

*shove occurs instantly*

umm, what the fuck? breathe in, breathe out. so he's not bluffing. that is for sure. lemme think about this for a few seconds. Check turn raise stats, no sample, check river raise stats, no sample. Sigh. So he has a full house of some kind. I'ma get rid of 88 because I think most bad players would raise OTT and certainly not shove now. TT seems so unlikely because theres 1 TT. So while considered mostly tossed. He does not have A8.

Which leaves, sigh, AK and KK. If I was an awful nit at poker how would I play these hands? AK seems more likely to check the flop due to he has the board crushed, in your mind you probably stack an A everytime so you think it's cool to let me catch a '2outer' KK, possible but seems unlikely because someone as bad as you would probably bet the flop because you dont want to be over fullhoused. So let's remove say a few combos of KK. You also snap jammed which slightly weighs your range towards the complete nuts because none of you people pay any attention to your timing tells. Folding seems correct when I factor in things like rake so I'ma do that. Sigh. Fold.