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When he SHOWS the aces it is a clear fold, we have 6% equity and need 18% or so.
If he doesn't show them, however, it is an instacall. Even if his range is tight enough to only include AA and AK w/ king of hearts we've got more than enough equity:
Results from http:\\www.HoldEmRanger.com
17,820 evaluations, 18 hole card combos
Board: Ah Jh 3h
Wins Ties Equity
36.82% 1.14% 37.95% ( JJ )
60.91% 1.14% 62.05% ( AA, KhA )
Throw in KK with a heart and we're just shy of a coinflip:
Board: Ah Jh 3h
Wins Ties Equity
46.13% 0.76% 46.89% ( JJ )
52.36% 0.76% 53.11% ( AA, KhA, KhK )
If he plays AxQh like this 50% of the time we're a slight favorite:
Board: Ah Jh 3h
Wins Ties Equity
49.44% 0.65% 50.09% ( JJ )
49.26% 0.65% 49.91% ( AA, KhA, KhK, QhA(50) )
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