|
 Originally Posted by davekp2003
I agree with the people saying bet out, two reasons A) you may (highly unlikely at that level) take the pot down betting .10. B)you want to build big pots with big hands.
The other side of the coin though, you want to keep the pot small with drawing hands and build it with made hands. Hmmm perhaps a good idea to check raise someone here, as if the third club comes it should kill your action.
I guess I probably shouldn't have commented sorry!
youre right, the flush may very well kill your action. thats why you try and get it in right now, imo.
i used to play combo draws (10+ outers) very weakly. and it was a big mistake once i started to pay attention to "equity." you need not have the better hand at the moment to have the most equity in a pot. we prolly all have heard that before, and think we understand it, but i still dont fully grasp that concept. sometimes you need to hear something a hundred times before the light goes on, ya know?
you have the most equity with combo draws right here on the flop. if you are over 50% equity (12 clean outs), you need to try and get it all in asap, as this is also where you have the most fold equity with a big raise, or 3bet...which doesnt matter since you only have a draw and are very unlikely to have the best hand currently...that is what make such aggressive play on the flop so profitable with combos. **if the percentages say you will win the hand 50% of the time, obv, you will lose 50% of the time, too.....however, anytime you get your opponent to fold and give you the pot, you profit. you only need to get someone to fold ONE time in your life for a 50% shot to be profitable....minus the rake. with aggression, someday before you turn 100 y/o, someone will fold off early, agreed?**
however, your equity, if you miss the turn, gets slashed by half. you go from majority stake to less than one third (polly more like one quarter) instantaneously...another reason to be aggressive on the flop. most of the time, if you are unimproved on the turn, you need to use your "skills" to determine whether you need to keep firing (because you can blow villain out) or play better pot control and only continue if you receive proper pot odds with a little bonus for implieds...if he kept up with you on the flop, he will likely commit himself (if he's not already) on the river, giving you your implieds.
as for you dave, and the "not commenting..." i have made so many donkey posts here at FTR (btw, yours was far from a donkey post), that i cant even count. but, its the only way you learn/contribute....by asking/commenting.
if your idea is way off, believe me, the posters here will let you know about it. but, most provide you with an explanation, too, as to why its wrong.
there are many different ways to play this type of hand. some +EV, some really +EV. and thats what we will piss and moan about. i prefer to get it in on the flop, if possible, because it gives a nit like me a chance to show i can be really aggressive with draws...and buy action on my made hands...hopefully.
|