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flop trips, facing turn donk

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Posts
    8,697
    Location
    soaking up ethanol, moving on up

    Default flop trips, facing turn donk

    40 hands on villain, seems TAG, i'm waitlisting and starting tables at beginning of session, he's on all the 50nl and 100nl tables that are running. I don't recognise him from the old days on FTP.

    Turn?

    $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
    8 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    UTG ($39.15) 78bb
    UTG+1 ($27.75) 56bb
    MP1 ($52.30) 105bb
    daven (MP2) ($52.75) 106bb
    CO ($50) 100bb
    BTN ($50) 100bb
    SB ($63.60) 127bb
    BB ($75) 150bb

    Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 8 players) daven is MP2
    3 folds, daven raises to $1.75, 2 folds, SB calls $1.50, 1 fold

    Flop: ($4, 2 players)
    SB checks, daven bets $2.40, SB calls $2.40

    Turn: ($8.80, 2 players)
    SB bets $5.50, $5.5 to daven ($48.6)?
  2. #2
    I would probably call and evaluate river. I mean the only hands that would make sense are 2's and 6's .
    Do you always 3.5x pre?
  3. #3
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
    Posts
    1,060
    Location
    St. Shawshanks Infant School
    I assume you cb 100 procents on this flop. do you has a raising range on the turn? whats in it? what does yr calling range look like?
    good spot daven, i like villains play it makes our life fucking hard.
    what are your ideas for villains range here? i would assume you dont know enough about villain to make any crazzy moves so i prolly just call.
  4. #4
    Confusing line and tough spot that you very rarely see at 25nl and below - are 50nl regs normally nutted when they take this line?

    Turn looks like a call despite the fact we'll probably want to puke on the river. Worst-case scenario imo gives us 17% equity and makes calling tight but okay as long as we can extract some extra $:

    Board: 2c Ts Td 6d
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 17.208% 10.23% 06.98% 63 43.00 { Th9h }
    Hand 1: 82.792% 75.81% 06.98% 467 43.00 { 66, 22, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, T9s, ATo }

    And if we factor in some flush draws with overs and middle pp then we're certainly doing well enough to call.

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