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 Originally Posted by LuckySlevin
Yeah I think it does but not sure if I' m making the error of predicting how villian would act from how I would act. I like semibluff raising with draws so thought he could be doing that, if it was me and I had a draw for 130bbs i'd probabally fold.
Although I do take your point about maybe thinking I have more FE than I do. If he has overcard(s) with fd sure he's not folding. So maybe shove wasn't great???
Do you have any reads on villain then? Fish, tag, notable things they've done? It's hard to judge the hand without that kind of information but I'd be confident there's a better way of playing this hand than stacking off 200bb deep vs someone who seems to like their hand and would probably stack off if we hit one of our draws anyway.
I think if you have any fold equity it's your initial reraise to 80c that carries it. Once villain minreraises, I'd be amazed if he's ever folding.
I'd also note that your 3 outs to the straight are not even to the nut straight, and are going to be worthless when villain has T9. So I think those are tainted.
Reply with some reads on villain if you have them, put a range together and let's see.
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