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If you shove, you probably have something like 10-15% equity against his calling range if he calls with jacks, pocket pairs, and 6x, but let's just say it's 10% for the sake of discussion. You're betting $20 when the pot is $17, when he calls the final pot will be about $54 after the rake, and you're getting about 10% of that back on average when he calls ($5.40), so your risk is only about $14.60. This means if he folds more than whatever 14.60/(14.60+17) is (about 46%) then shoving is +EV.
If you think shoving is +EV, then compare it to a check/call. Is he going to shove enough worse that check/calling is better than shoving? If you think shoving is -EV, and you think a check/call is -EV, then check/fold. Easy game.
Edit: Another option would be betting something like 1/6 pot if you think he'll shove over more worse hands than he'll bet with if you check, etc.
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