Equity

I suck at poker and I suck at math. Not a real good combination for a successful career in playing cards. But I'm willing to learn because I love the game. So, if anyone could help me with the following situation, that would be great.

$1/2 NL Holdem

I have 9 8 and open raise to $7 from the CO. I then get re-popped by the BB for $25 from a 35/20 player who puts himself all-in. For the sake of this argument, he'll shove over with the top 20% of hands because he's short-stacked. This would be 66+, A4s+, K8s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, A9o+, KTo+, QTo+, and JTo. I have around 36% equity. Is this a call or fold? Why?

If I'm missing something here, let me know because I really don't know what I'm talking about.

You have to call $18 (25-7)
There is $32 in the pot (25+7)

18 / (18 + 32) = 36%

So 0eV

I would fold, and make sure I'm raising hands that fair better vs his range.

Originally Posted by swiggidy

You have to call $18 (25-7)
There is $32 in the pot (25+7)

18 / (18 + 32) = 36%

So 0eV

I would fold, and make sure I'm raising hands that fair better vs his range.

i would fold the odds r too low

I too am awful at mathmatics

its also a game of luck

you should also prepare toooo........preparation

Ok, same situation. He shoves $18 into the pot. Can I profitably call?

If he's a 35/20 player with a short stack is he going to be going all in 20% of the time or should you be considering a 3 bet stat? Could this be as high as 10% for a short stacker?
Any Ace + any pair also comes out at 20% and would give you more equity at about 41%

Originally Posted by swiggidy

You have to call $18 (25-7)
There is $32 in the pot (25+7)

18 / (18 + 32) = 36%

So 0eV

I would fold, and make sure I'm raising hands that fair better vs his range.

Wait a minute, shouldn't we always be willing to stick it in cnsidering that it's a 0ev situation? I thought we were supposed to take all neutral to positive situations, and fold all negative situations.

Originally Posted by Airles™

Ok, same situation. He shoves $18 into the pot. Can I profitably call?

I'm assuming it's 200NL given your $7 raise size.

When you raise the pot is $10 ($7 + $2 + 1 [blinds]). Villains shoves his $18 into the pot. The pot is now $28, and you must call $11. To figure your needed equity I use the formula:

(amount to call) / (Pot + amount to call)

So here it is 11 / (28 + 11) or 11/39 = .282

Therefore, to have a breakeven call you need to have 28% equity against his range. Anything else then you have a +ev call, and anything less you have a -ev call.

You can also find the equity needed by doing it using a ratio. Such as there is $28 in the pot and you must call $11. Therefore you are gett 28:11 or 2.55:1. So you need 1 / (2.55 + 1) or 28% equity.

Anything else?

Also, I think 20% is likely a wide range for a generic shortstacker. So if you have reads/stats that he will do this then okay, but if not then I would tighten his range up a bit.

And what the hell? There isn't even freerolls this week.. Why the infestation?

theres one tonight Stacks, I've got to let someone else win it this time as I'll be getting up whilst its still running as I'm working 5am tomorrow (UK time)

Originally Posted by XxStacksxX

And what the hell? There isn't even freerolls this week.. Why the infestation?

There is one tonight LDO

Originally Posted by XxStacksxX

Originally Posted by Airles™

Ok, same situation. He shoves $18 into the pot. Can I profitably call?

I'm assuming it's 200NL given your $7 raise size.

When you raise the pot is $10 ($7 + $2 + 1 [blinds]). Villains shoves his $18 into the pot. The pot is now $28, and you must call $11. To figure your needed equity I use the formula:

(amount to call) / (Pot + amount to call)

So here it is 11 / (28 + 11) or 11/39 = .282

Therefore, to have a breakeven call you need to have 28% equity against his range. Anything else then you have a +ev call, and anything less you have a -ev call.

You can also find the equity needed by doing it using a ratio. Such as there is $28 in the pot and you must call $11. Therefore you are gett 28:11 or 2.55:1. So you need 1 / (2.55 + 1) or 28% equity.

Anything else?

Thanks Stacks. This is exactly what I was looking for.