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 Originally Posted by Micro2Macro
lol wow wtf that seems a bit low
whats your river cbet success?
When we were talking about this the other day, I think yours was similar.
 Originally Posted by ButtonMash
EV = x * $3 + (1-x)[(4/46) * $7 - (42/46) * $2]
While this formula isn't high level math I couldn't possibly do this calculation during play.
I see the problem as lose $2 or win $5, or 40:100 without any outs.
Considering we have 4 outs, the rule of 4 or 2 (this is only one street so 2 in our case) gives us an improvement of 8%. 40% - 8% is 32%.
I could easily do this while playing the hand. Is this method valid or am I oversimplifying somewhere?
No shit. The point isn't to try to do it during play. The point is that a 2/3 PSB needs your opponent to fold 40% of the time if you have no outs, and a bit less if you have as little as 4 outs.
Also your calculation is terribly wrong.
 Originally Posted by JKDS
That...is really neat
You're welcome.
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