Double Barreling Quiz

38 % turn cbet success over 40k hands of 10nl

Originally Posted by philly and the phanatics

38 % turn cbet success over 40k hands of 10nl

lol wow wtf that seems a bit low

whats your river cbet success?

Originally Posted by Micro2Macro

lol wow wtf that seems a bit low

whats your river cbet success?

When we were talking about this the other day, I think yours was similar.

Originally Posted by ButtonMash

EV = x * $3 + (1-x)[(4/46) * $7 - (42/46) * $2]


While this formula isn't high level math I couldn't possibly do this calculation during play.
I see the problem as lose $2 or win $5, or 40:100 without any outs.
Considering we have 4 outs, the rule of 4 or 2 (this is only one street so 2 in our case) gives us an improvement of 8%. 40% - 8% is 32%.
I could easily do this while playing the hand. Is this method valid or am I oversimplifying somewhere?

No shit. The point isn't to try to do it during play. The point is that a 2/3 PSB needs your opponent to fold 40% of the time if you have no outs, and a bit less if you have as little as 4 outs.

Also your calculation is terribly wrong.

Originally Posted by JKDS

That...is really neat

You're welcome.