Sometimes we think too deeply in micros when all we need to do to level a villain is think on level two and three. Any thinking beyond this is overkill and gets us in stupid spots.

99% of opponents are playing their cards and have no clue you know what cards they are playing. To exploit them, all we have to do is know their range (which doesn't really vary).

Even if they do get to level two thinking, they think we think like they do. And if we know how they play, we know what they think we have and can further exploit them.

Simple ABC poker that adjusts to static opponent ranges and takes a villains actions at face value wins the day at micros.