To Donk or Not To Donk...

This is why we're folding pre, because villain rarely has something he pays us with when it's a BU steal from a 21/16. His range is too wide for us to setmine.

As played, I c/c turn, villain has air like always here, only way we're getting any value here is by letting him bluff. I might bet like 10th of the pot or something stupid on river, hoping for a stupid raise.

Originally Posted by OngBonga

This is why we're folding pre, because villain rarely has something he pays us with when it's a BU steal from a 21/16. His range is too wide for us to setmine.

If Villain wont call when Hero bets for value, then Villain wont call when Hero bluffs; Hero has fold equity post-flop.

Playing a heads up pot OOP is much better than raising from the CO and facing 4 calls. If Hero thinks he outplays this villain after the flop; Hero has exploitation equity.

A setmine is not Hero's only equity in this situation.

Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey

If Villain wont call when Hero bets for value, then Villain wont call when Hero bluffs; Hero has fold equity post-flop.

Playing a heads up pot OOP is much better than raising from the CO and facing 4 calls. If Hero thinks he outplays this villain after the flop; Hero has exploitation equity.

A setmine is not Hero's only equity in this situation.

Now you're getting somewhere, but think about how much equity 33 has turned into a bluff vs something like QTs on various board textures.