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 Originally Posted by PKKFW
Personally I like the bet ott. It represents the A, makes it look like you've floated his donk bet and hit lucky ott and doesn't give him a free card to draw to a flush or straight. His c/c has me thinking he has a draw or possibly some Tx combo.
Not to say that its a bad idea to bet the turn.. but i dont think that the fact that it reps the A is a good thing, or a reason to do it.
Villain is 39/2 at 2NL so is probably not concidering the possibility of what his opponent has. But in the event of a villain that does think then by repping the A your telling him to fold all mid pairs because he's beaten. His calling range becomes flush draws and Ax. Obviously we need to price out the draws but i still want to get value out of all his junky 1 pair hands. Unfortunately we probably cant get value because its too real a possibility that this player has Ax so we must slow down.
point is, last thing i want here is to convince all the 10x hands that i have an ace and see them all fold, meanwhile any hand that has an ace calls. Thats a really bad reason to bet.
In the context of this hand we should raise the flop, this villain gives us value from a massive range of hands, mid pp, flush draws, gutshot draws, 10x, maybe 7x, JJ/QQ. your only behind sets, and i doubt they bet the flop in this way.
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