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I'd like to reply to this and see if I can get it right. First of all, UTG limped in with a so-so hand out of position. MP3 raises 3xbb showing some strength and the Button calls this. UTG will now be out of position on every play after this. Flop comes showing some promise with top pair and a decent flush draw. I get a little unsure of myself here, but I like to bet maybe half the pot to see where I stand. That didn' happen though so following the original play, I see a bet the size of the pot I have to start doing some math. With MP3's PFR of 3xbb I put him on at least AQs. AA, KK, QQ and JJ are possible but with the flush draw I would expect a higher bet to get everyone out. 10 10 is also possible but again I would think he would bet a little higher to scare some people off. AKs with diamonds is not possible. Calling the bet here causes UTG to put in 30% of the pot. He has 2 J's, 3K's that can help him. 20% chance if it goes to the river with no more bets which is unlikeley. Again, bad odds so fold. The Queen on the turn is another scare card for me.
Just the thoughts of a newbie, any corrections to this thinking are both welcome and encouraged.
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