Quote Originally Posted by Jason
But again I want to stress the importance of knowing your villains. I see so many threads on FTR where people say red faced how this is ALWAYS the best way to play this hand or "you're stupid for thinking this" or "you're donk for doing that" or "yawn" or whatever. The truth is that a significant % of money I and others make and how I and others play poker deviates from the traditional "right" play IF you have good reads. This hand in particular reminds me of that because I can remember so many villains at these stakes who I would practically NEVER call an all-in from unless I had the stone cold nuts. I don't know if this villain is one of those or not, but the main point is that reads and situations are so important.

So, how often does villain have 52o is not the question I'd be concerned with, rather how often will this villain push with something besides 52o. If you think, based on actual reads and data, he'll do the same thing with Ax or two pair, then you're good. But, if you're guessing that and don't really know, then it's just wishful thinking.
Post of the week, IMO.