yawn. as ever, generising in stupid. sometimes its right to give insane odds. sometimes its right to give correct odds.

if im against a predictable nit and i have 99 and the flop comes 8c 2c 4h, i might bet half the pot or slightly less. why? Because nits will call with a draw, as we want them to. the likely play on later streets from you and your opp dictates this. If it is blindly obvious they hit their draw, as it often will be, it's easy to get away from. of course we are also betting to get value from an 8 or whatever, but we bet less because the nits range is smaller and they arent likely to get tricky and raise us with second best.

otoh, if im multiway against a bunch of stations against whom a draw makes up a fair amount of range, i may bet more because they also will call.

against trickier opponents i may rethink the strategy altogether. theres no rules

on the other side of the felt, betting and raising with draws is often a good play but when someone with $8 behind fires out $5 into a $10 pot on a board of Ac Kc Jd and I hold 4c5c, i may fold. DUCY?