Can someone do this math plz?

Can someone do the math to show how many sets on average one should hit in 20k hands? I guess to make it simple just assume that you saw every flop when you held a pp during the 20k hands.

i bet you could do it if you tried

http://www.pokerluckometer.com/setometer.htm

try this

Originally Posted by bigspenda73

i bet you could do it if you tried

but i don't wanna

uhmmm...

6 ways to make each pp x 13 pairs = 78 / 1326 = ~.05882

so, roughly 6% of hands you get a pp, in 20k hands, thats 1200 pps.

flopping a set is roughly 11% (counting quads or a boat it's a little more I think, not counting those it's a little less)

11% of 1200 is 132.

So that's 132 flopped sets... to avoid doing the statistical stuff we'll guesstimate about 200 if you run it out to the river.

any way to filter pt to see your actual number? i'm such a pt noob.

very cool trainer...bout to dl now

EDIT: ya that prog rocks hard. i just loaded my 22,232 hand db into it and i've amazingly been dealt the almost exact average of 1334 pairs. going by the 11% flop-a-set rule i should have flopped 146-ish sets. i have only flopped 100. i've heard it said before that downswings = below average # of sets and upswings = above average # of sets. also add above/below the average # of AA vs. KK and set-over-set confrontations to the mix. i've had AA vs. KK 1 time and KK vs. AA 5 times. i'm not sure what the average # of set-vs-overpair confrontations should be but i've only had 3 sets-vs-overpairs. i can see why i am in a downswing.