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 Originally Posted by oskar
I overlooked the flushdraw (use the hand converter, please).
What I would have liked you to do is to really take the time and write out all the possible combinations that he could have here. Then you put them in pokerstove and see what your equity is...
Anyway... just from experience I can tell you that this is very rarely a bluff. It could be a very retarded value bet with just an Ace, but most of the time it's either Aces up or a slowplayed set.
River is an easy b/f imo.
So very worst he could have top/mid/bottom one pair floating and bluffing on river. Very unlikely.
Next up, flush draw floating, missed, and river shoving for bluff. Not likely at this stake level.
Next up, which is what I thought he might have had, is Ax (perhaps Axc flushdraw). So he shoved me on the river for value. I guess maybe quite unlikely action from a player at this level as well.
Next up, a set. So 99, 44, or more unlikely, 22, JJ (or AA god forbid). Perhaps somewhat likely but I don't see many people can get away from the 2pair.
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