Quote Originally Posted by Wikkiwikki View Post
Entire range 1/2 the pot for all hands.

I could be wrong but If you c-bet 1/2 the pot on every flop you win $6.24 since he folds to c-bet 48% of the time. Assume we dump the hand the 52% of the time he does something else (even though we wouldn't) we would lose $.65 a hand for a total of $3.38 on those. so we end up making $2.86 so without even thinking about anything our 1/2 pot c-bet is +.28 EV.

But some of those times we will have equity and/or he will just call and we would have to re-evaluate on the turn. Meaning we would win some of those too by barreling and whatnot. And thats assuming you fold to every 3-bet.

So bet it and forget it ----- Poker is easy!!!! The problem is he will try to adjust to this and play back more but as long as he's folding at least 33% of the time we are at worst breaking even.


This might not be optimal but it's winning based on his stats.
With that kind of logic we could just minbet every flop and stack money.

His stats don't mean he's folding 48% of the time on these flops. Consider his range and how he's going to play it, then go from there.