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Re: Bluffing strategy
 Originally Posted by swiggidy
 Originally Posted by Hit_it&enjoy
What is the thought process that mid to high stakes regs go through to estimate these percentages?
Not so sure if this is a good example but I hope you get the gist.
Thinking like mid->HS players is -eV
Trying to apply mid->HS concepts at micros is -eV
Just don't bluff, after 10-20k hands you'll start to see spots where it's profitable.
Since you're asking a turn/ river question it's all about reads. If you don't collect this information bluffing is prob -eV, if you do collect it the answer will be trivial.
you can play the turn and river without reads
I mean what do you do, c/f against an unknown on the turn?
also, bluffing at the micros is not EV-, it's the lack of understanding of ranges / board texture that's EV-
a lot of the time at the micros you'll be at the river with a busted draw, but your opponent has like 50% busted draws in his range
it's a SIN not to bet like 1/2 pot to make him fold his ace high or whatever
even though you'll be getting these wtf calls by third pair some of the time, if he has a busted draw at least 25% of the time we're breaking even, more than that we're winning money
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