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Bluffing Frequency Quiz

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  1. #9
    question is a bit ambiguous, no offense obv

    assumptions:
    - villain's range is polarized between bluffs and nut hands
    - we beat all bluffs but lose to all nut hands
    - villain's polarized range is not "balanced" as our equity is only 30%
    - therefore 30/100 hands are bluffs and 70/100 hands are nuts

    If villain "bluffs twice as often", and he currently bluffs 30/100, then he will now bluff 60/100; and since we beat all bluff hands, our equity is now 60%.

    Edit: to clarify - I've interpreted the language used by spoon -- "bluffs twice as often" -- in relative, and not absolute, terms. So the villain is not adding an equal number of bluff combos to the mix; in this case 30+30 / 130 = 46% -- he is actually bluffing double the proportion of combos he was before; 60/100 instead of 30/100.
    Last edited by Penneywize; 09-16-2010 at 07:39 PM.

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