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I'm tempted to go do some math.. calculate how often someone will hit 'something' from different sorts of starting hands.. and how often a hand will improve on the turn (and river). Also calculate how often it will be "something good" (because even MP you can bluff out). Maybe this'll help me understand the power of bluffing better.
So when I get around to doing this, and actually get it figured out, I'll post up some results.
EDIT: btw I think the main problem with bluffing is that if you don't really have a 'system' (ie a systematic way) to bluff, you're going to bluff by impulse, and even a dolt can sniff this out with his eyes closed.
Typical impulse-bluff reactions are:
- This seems like a great position to bluff.. let's give it a try!
- Oh this bluff worked! Cool! Let's try it again soon!
- Damn my bluff got called.. time to bail out quick.
- Damn, I got burnt on a bluff.. better play safe for a while!
- I folded to this guy and he showed his cards and he had NOTHING! Next time I'm calling him out no matter what!
- Pff I'm getting nothing so many hands in a row.. time to bluff!
- I wanna bluff but not too high.. cuz that's scary!
etc
This is typical predictable noob-play I think. If you bluff, you have to do it in a systematic way. I'm trying to figure out what that is
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