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 Originally Posted by ArcadianRock
Well,
I can beat 25NL. I can give you the 6 hands that knocked me down 5 BIs and I think that going all in with a set on a dry flop is +EV, it sucked they hit theirs too, but I' m not griping.
I did take your advice though and started short stacking 10NL with 20BB, just to give it a shot and it worked well. I massively multi tabled up to 20, and it did make my decisions easier, although I don't think I got "better" at poker, so I think it's a quick fix. Great for FPP, but then again that's not my entire goal.
I might split up my day into 3 sessions where two go towards real poker and one for SSing.
Any other ideas?
Your results sound like random variance to me.
Before my poker life, I was (and I guess still am) into horse racing and handicapping. And one of my downfalls was that I would see some bad results over a couple of trips to the track and immediately declare that things weren't working, and switch to a different strategy. I'd never stick with anything long enough to see if it would work long term, in part because for much of that time my bankroll was more limited than it is now.
If you lose 5 buy-ins, but you are playing poker properly, you just have to write that off and be rolled sufficiently for it not be a problem. (Of course, if in fact there are leaks in your game, you have to fix them. But even a leak-free game is going to run into variance.)
I played 8 hours of 15/30 limit at Hollywood Park yesterday. I ended up plus $56 for the day. Over the course of the session, I was down as much as $850 and spent much of the session down more than $600. I ended up in the black because of two hands:
1. A hand where I hit a flush on the flop with Kd9d from the small blind.
AND
2. A hand where I was wrongly convinced I was ahead in a multiway pot with a pair of 6's (on a paired board with a pair of 2's showing) because two other players were slowplaying their high pocket pairs, only to get really lucky and hit a 2 out full house on the river with another 6.
In other words, in all the hands in which I played reasonably good poker, I was down a bunch of money, and I made it all up with a "small blind special" and a hand that I horribly misplayed but where I was lucky because my opponents misplayed it even worse than I did!
And that's poker.
Short stacking isn't going to solve whatever leaks are in your game, and it isn't a cure for variance either.
It's boring and been said 1,000 times, but you just need to do what Spenda, Iopq, Fnord, and every other FTR regular says to do, which is focus on the long-haul, getting better, grinding it out, proper bankroll management, and posting your hands and hand histories and getting better.
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