Quote Originally Posted by Robb
Quote Originally Posted by Revolver123
But it's 24% to hit outs on 2 overs and I was getting more than that in pot odds. Would you have tossed AK to a small bet like that? come on.
You're only 12% to hit your hand on the turn, then 12% again to hit your hand on the river. So IF ALL 6 OF YOUR OUTS ARE LIVE, you made a correct call on the flop (nearly 10 to 1 pot odds and 9 to 1 odds against winning) but not the turn (about 8 to 1 pot odds and still 9 to 1 against winning). The flop actually has a bit more equity than 12%, since any heart gives the nut flush redraw.

On both the flop and turn, you were offering villain reverse implied odds. You can't just say I'm x% to win by the river, then call any small bets on the flop and turn. You have to guess how much you're going to have to call to SEE the river, much more so the showdown.

I think BJ's getting at this: how sure are we that either or the A or the K is good here?

Thanks, this reply was very helpful. I think I understand better now how to play these spots.