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ass backwards concept?
help me on this...
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
UTG+1 ($10.65)
MP1 ($2.05)
MP2 ($3)
MP3 ($6.65)
CO ($17.10)
Button ($5.15)
SB ($6)
BB ($9.15)
Hero ($10.15)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 4 , 4 . MP2 posts a blind of $0.10.
Hero calls $0.10, 2 folds, MP2 (poster) checks, MP3 calls $0.10, 1 fold, Button calls $0.10, 1 fold, BB checks.
Flop: ($0.55) T , 9 , 9 (5 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks, Button checks.
Turn: ($0.55) 9 (5 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.4, MP2 calls $0.40, MP3 calls $0.40, Button folds, BB folds.
River: ($1.75) J (3 players)
Hero checks, MP2 bets $0.7, MP3 calls $0.70, Hero folds.
Final Pot: $3.15
on a flop like this, against this many players, we dont prolly attempt to steal oop here, that much we have. but, on this turn?
now, we have a vulnerable boat. we know that other pp's may be in there, and likely they are better than ours, but will they call a bet? likely, but not all of them. T+ arent folding. we would love 22 to call.
is it worth it to stab here? the pot is small, i would say its 50/50 that we are best. i dont usually like the "only better hands call and all worse hands fold" stuff because...
here, if we wait and see if we can see a cheap showdown, a better card may come off on river that sinks a pot we could have picked up. there is no evidence that anyone likes their hand so far, and it doesnt cost much to find out. if we get raised, we fold. if we get called, we are likely done, too. but, if we check, and a blank comes, A-high may steal....and we are not calling that bet. therefore, folding the best hand.
isnt it better to stab cheaply, and find out, rather than fold to a likely bluff?
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