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AQs UTG river TP; too thin?

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
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    Default AQs UTG river TP; too thin?

    villain is 16/8 over 25 called down 3 streets with QQ on 22JccJ5c board vs me same positions. topped up some but not full.
    do you bet turn?
    is this river to thin? I didnt think he'd be able to let go of a pair and I don't think he has a bluff in him. obviously im only surmising from what ive seen and our little bit of history. Not really reads just intuition.

    $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
    PokerStars
    9 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    kick (UTG) ($40.43)
    UTG+1 ($11.91)
    MP1 ($12.35)
    MP2 ($18.78)
    MP3 ($9.41)
    CO ($25)
    BTN ($9.65)
    SB ($10.58)
    BB ($25.69)

    Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 9 players) kick is UTG
    kick raises to $0.75, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.75, 4 folds, BB calls $0.50

    Flop: ($2.35, 3 players)
    BB checks, kick bets $1.75, MP2 calls $1.75, BB folds

    Turn: ($5.85, 2 players)
    kick checks, MP2 checks

    River: ($5.85, 2 players)
    kick bets $3.25, MP2 goes all-in $16.28, kick folds
    Last edited by kickass; 04-25-2012 at 04:22 PM.
  2. #2
    He's repping so few hands, I kind of want to call this.
  3. #3
    I assume he would bet a 7 on turn,maybe 33,77,88-TT would checkback turn and turn his hand into a bluff. What if you had TT-KK? Would you bet/fold this river? I think his expectation is to fold out your middle type hands when he bricks FD, get paid when you actually have a Ace and he has better. Bet-calling is my river line as he only wins here a small % of the time. The rest is air+middle hands turned into bluffs.
    "The harder you work, the luckier you get." ~ courtesy of my fortune cookie from china king

    "One of the best pieces of advice I've ever read in this forum was three words long...

    bet fucking fold." Ong
  4. #4
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up
    barrel turn
    check river as played
    fold river raise as played
  5. #5
    I'm folding river for sure, probably betting this flop too since hero is pfr.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  6. #6
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
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    I did bet the flop and fold the river ong. Turn check and river bet is waht i asked about.
  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by kickass View Post
    I did bet the flop and fold the river ong. Turn check and river bet is waht i asked about.
    Yeah I'm saying I prob play the hand the same. Turn is tough, when I bet flop my plan is to fire a 2nd barrel if MP folds and BB calls, but if MP calls and BB folds then reassess turn. This turn I probably c/f, heart A and Q c/c.
    Last edited by OngBonga; 04-27-2012 at 01:55 PM.
    Quote Originally Posted by wufwugy View Post
    ongies gonna ong
  8. #8
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
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    St. Shawshanks Infant School
    I felt if I c/c river he would never be bluffing and id get owned, but I felt there was worse in his range he could call with, after the QQ hand i mentioned in the op I thought this villain would call. I didnt see alot of air in his range on the river and I dont see him turning a made hand into a bluff.

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