Quote Originally Posted by poker_pup
Quote Originally Posted by Robb
Here's a trick: think about the game, your opponents, the betting, recent hands, and the stacks. Then make a wild-ass guess.
Lately all of my wild ass guesses have been based on greed. I think I've got a great hand and this fool wants to give me all of his money. Wheeee!!! But then I get stacked.

I got whooped in two big hands (25NL) yesterday and this is the basic betting pattern on the river (different villians).

ME: Bet 1/2 of the pot.
Villian: Reraise pot.
ME: Quickly hit reraise button for double his bet.
Villian: Quickly raise all-in.
ME: Ponder a bit and then call.

I suppose I could avoid calling four bet all ins. Yesterday it would have saved me big, but I'm not sure if it would be smart in the long run.

Quote Originally Posted by Robb
I'm willing to stack off most times with 2 pair (70% maybe) . I'm often willing to stack off with TPTK or an overpair that's QQ or better (maybe 30%).
I will seldom stack off with anything less than three of a kind, and when I do it's based almost entirely on my read on the villian. I'm a fairly aggressive bettor and the villians reactions to my bets USUALLY let me know when I'm beat with any less than three of a kind.
I'm piss-poor so far, but I tend to play as if I am playing myself... would I call that or shove that into the pot?

That gives me at least a baseline to start with.