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 Originally Posted by poker_pup
 Originally Posted by Robb
Here's a trick: think about the game, your opponents, the betting, recent hands, and the stacks. Then make a wild-ass guess.
Lately all of my wild ass guesses have been based on greed. I think I've got a great hand and this fool wants to give me all of his money. Wheeee!!! But then I get stacked.
I got whooped in two big hands (25NL) yesterday and this is the basic betting pattern on the river (different villians).
ME: Bet 1/2 of the pot.
Villian: Reraise pot.
ME: Quickly hit reraise button for double his bet.
Villian: Quickly raise all-in.
ME: Ponder a bit and then call.
I suppose I could avoid calling four bet all ins. Yesterday it would have saved me big, but I' m not sure if it would be smart in the long run.
 Originally Posted by Robb
I' m willing to stack off most times with 2 pair (70% maybe) . I' m often willing to stack off with TPTK or an overpair that's QQ or better (maybe 30%).
I will seldom stack off with anything less than three of a kind, and when I do it's based almost entirely on my read on the villian. I' m a fairly aggressive bettor and the villians reactions to my bets USUALLY let me know when I' m beat with any less than three of a kind.
I'm piss-poor so far, but I tend to play as if I am playing myself... would I call that or shove that into the pot?
That gives me at least a baseline to start with.
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