|
Re: Analyzing A3s vs A2s... (interesting results)
 Originally Posted by Atlplayer85
It COULD be just a result of the way I play the hands, maybe I get attached to the suited AJ more easily, and it's harder for me to let it go?
Indeed this is it.
If you want to prove a theory about the pokersites rigging flops etc, then you would need to do the following:
- determine how they rig them. You say 'to generate more action', but in practical terms, what would they do.
- if they rig it, then there would have to be a discrepency over a very large sample with what would be normally statistically expected.
More to the point, if you hold AJs, the odds* that the flop has
- none of the suit: 46.6%
- one of the suit: 41.6%
- two of the suit: 10.9%
- three of the suit: 0.84%
So.. go ahead and round up a large enough sample and see if the flops are rigged. If they differ significantly from what the odds imply, then we'll talk.
* the math:
for one of the suit, 11 suited cards left out of 50 unknown cards. So 39 of them are offsuit to your hand.
none on the flop= 39*38*37/50*49*48
one suit on the flop= (39*38*11/50*49*48)*3
=> three possible configurations to fit the suit into the offsuits
two suits on the flop= (39*11*10/50*49*48)*3
=> again three possible configurations
three suits on the flop= 11*10*9/50*49*48
|