Norg, you're correct, I'm not quoting all-in equity to suggest we chase to river, I'm merely pointing out that our chances of hitting the flop must be better than 2% based on our all-in equity of 23%. I think we have better than 10% flop equity, which means we're getting insnaely great implied odds.

Yes, sometimes we lose when we take the lead on the flop, I have accounted for this happening 1 in 5 times in my maths above, and we're still over $7 up over 50 hands.

The times we chase flush draws, well that's a case of chasing at the correct price, isn't it? So long as we're making +ev moves if we continue, it's no problem.