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 Originally Posted by OngBonga
I took the link first time and I think you are misinterpreting the information. We have way better than 50:1 on hitting a better hand than one pair. Let's put it another way, according to stove we have 23% all-in equity against AA, this would not be nearly this high if we were hitting just one in fifty flops.
Though that is true, we're never ever calling bets to see the turn and /or the river unless we've hit bigger than just a pair on the flop.
There is also going to be a cost to us in the overall calculation of our failed draws, where we have paid to see them, and of course where we stack off to a higher flush, not just to AKs, also to 4flush boards after our money has already gone in. I would prefer a deeper stack personally for the play, but 26 isn't terrible either.
So I'm not hating the play, since as you say we can narrow down villain's range so well that he's almost playing the cards face up from the off, and the payoff isn't just in the hand we win, but also the fact that we should get a benefit here in future hands since our nit and possibly the whole table is more likely to pay us off on our big hands too if our range is perceived as much looser than it is. Shania and all that.
Edit - [Sorry, some of those points have already been dealt with by you further up. This thread has at least got the imagination (and posters) going]
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