AJs TPTK vs loose-ish unknown

I'd check it behind OTR. Hero done did got tha good value for TPTK, and still has thin showdown value.

Also, I doubt there's much value in a bet here anyway.

Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey

I'd check it behind OTR. Hero done did got tha good value for TPTK, and still has thin showdown value.

Also, I doubt there's much value in a bet here anyway.

what if we bet $1? $2? $4? $6?
if we bet $2 here and get called by worse then that is 8bb, which is about what most winning players hope to win every 100 hands.

fwiw, i was debating $5-$6 (as per p4s) vs $3ish

Originally Posted by davisrei

I would bet about $3 here. The reason is that, while it looks like your opponent was chasing a flush that busted, it's possible that that chase included a 5 that has now tripled up.

there are no flush draws that include a 5 cos we are using only one deck of cards
spades hit on the river

Originally Posted by davisrei

If you put a full pot bet in here, you'll have about 28% of your original stack involved, and if he raises you another $15, then you'll have to decide whether to call with another 47% of your remaining $32 with just TPTK, and that's not a good place to be.

nah, it's snap bet-fold

Originally Posted by daven

what if we bet $1? $2? $4? $6?
if we bet $2 here and get called by worse then that is 8bb, which is about what most winning players hope to win every 100 hands.

My first instinct was to bet $2.50... but I ruled that out on account the flush came in, the board paired and TPTK is not a hand that gets 3 streets of value very often.

At $4+, Hero is bluffing and will rarely get called by worse.

There might be a sweet spot between $1 and $2 where Villain will call w/ almost any hand and raise only flushes or better.

I guess it comes down to reads and balance. What range of hands would you bet this board this way? Is it wide enough to have a "range" OTR?

I feel that missing thin value on rivers is probably one of my biggest leaks... I'm not good at figuring out the right times to go for it.

Originally Posted by daven

there are no flush draws that include a 5 cos we are using only one deck of cards

You should've mentioned that in the OP.

Originally Posted by MadMojoMonkey

I'd check it behind OTR. Hero done did got tha good value for TPTK, and still has thin showdown value.

Also, I doubt there's much value in a bet here anyway.

i seriously doubt that's the case. i like $5-6 on this river.