aces vs tag on interesting turn - 50nl

villain is 13-11-4 canadian pro with low 50% fold to cbet, doesn't float much, pretty standard, up 35k at 25nl and 50nl the last few years, etc. He probably has me about 17-13 with low-ish c-bet and a bit of a station.
Turn play? is this absolutely trivial?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($51.40)
MP2 ($51.50)
MP3 ($113.80)
CO ($39.40)
Button ($50.75)
SB ($56.85)
BB ($55.40)
Hero (UTG) ($51.50)
UTG+1 ($58)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A, A
Hero bets $1.75, 3 folds, MP3 calls $1.75, 4 folds

Flop: ($4.25) 9, 8, J (2 players)
Hero bets $3.50, MP3 calls $3.50

Turn: ($11.25) 2 (2 players)

I'm going b/f because there are a lot of bluffs/semi-bluffs I would be barreling here plus checking seems like it just lets him own you. If you check, he can get you to fold on a lot of rivers by betting turn and river. He can check behind draws and hit or miss and fold river, he can check behind Jx that would have paid you off.

On the other hand, taking villain's playing style into account, you could make the argument that the only hands in villain's range on the turn that you want to be betting against are TT/QQ and maybe JTs (not hearts obv). He doesn't really have much Jx in his pre-flop calling range. Since he's not floating you on the flop, a check/decide based on sizing with a plan to vbet good rivers if he checks behind may be more appropriate.

Doesn't seem trivial at all to me.

B/C. Re evaluate river. Not folding unless river is really ugly.

b/f seems pretty standard to me. I wouldn't b/c here since villain can just jam any river because it's highly unlikely that we would call there with b/c with a hand strong enough to a call river jam on this board.

b/f

b/f

b/f

Originally Posted by Roid_Rage

b/f

b/f

b/f

turn sizing?

Bet $8 on the turn, fold to a raise. If he just calls turn then I'm confused. Range is pretty tight tho.

Anything over 2/3 pot is fine, bigger being better than smaller.

Pretty much agree with dranger. My sizing will probably be 80% on flop and turn, probably 55%ish on river if we get that far.

who be dranger?

Roid... I prefer his old name

So do I.

Originally Posted by OngBonga

Roid... I prefer his old name

not everyone loved the mad doctor's confusing name

highlights imo:

Originally Posted by dranger

Oh and holy shit Jyms actually is a colossal dbag. I never really had a problem with him until he made those lollerable posts.

Enjoy losing your ass at 50nl and living out of your friends basement you douche.

Originally Posted by Dranger7070

Now, if you want to bust my balls about smoking pot, fine. If you want to get on my case about being lazy and getting kicked out of the military, cool. I really wouldnt care because thats your opinion and I'm not gonna raise a big stink about it. But if you're going to fucking sit there and harass me for 6+ months about these things, then turn around and kick/ban me from the IRC channel you created to talk about poker for no other reason than I was talking about poker. And then get pissed off at me and go crying to the FTR admins because I trolled you in a few threads and then flamed you in one in the BC and I get banned. Get over yourself you egotistical douchebag. You would think being 25 years old you would be slightly more mature. Too bad thats not the case.

Originally Posted by Carroters

Okay guys since dranger is banned Ima have to fill in.

Today I smoked pot and didn't play poker, but it's really no big deal, cos life is fun and whatever.

I bet $10 on the turn and fold to a raise/shove. I think much smaller than $10 might embolden villain to bluff at such a wet board. If he's raising you after such a big turn bet, it makes your decision easier.