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AA vs nit shortie

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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
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    1,060
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    St. Shawshanks Infant School

    Default AA vs nit shortie

    villain is 10/10 over 96 3 bets 2%
    why on earth would anyone raise this flop for value IP with his stack size this is so a snap shove on the flop right? I know the flop is ugly and I would fold vs a deeper stacked opponent but I can see villain having JJ/TT more often than QQ. tell me dumb ass nits with less than 40bb fast play sets IP and i'll beleive you.

    $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Holdem
    9 Players
    Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

    Stacks:
    kickass (UTG) ($10.47)
    UTG+1 ($7.47)
    MP1 ($6.59)
    MP2 ($10.98)
    MP3 ($3.85)
    CO ($7.67)
    BTN ($3.69)
    SB ($10)
    BB ($4.90)

    Pre-Flop: ($0.15, 9 players) kickass is UTG
    kickass raises to $0.40, 3 folds, MP3 calls $0.40, 4 folds

    Flop: ($0.95, 2 players)
    kickass bets $0.60, MP3 raises to $2.30, kickass raises to $4, MP3 goes all-in $1.15

    Turn: ($8.40, 2 players, 1 all-in)

    River: ($8.40, 2 players, 1 all-in)
  2. #2
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
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    soaking up ethanol, moving on up
    this is fine vs 38bb. I mean, he probably beats JJ, but so do you. Nit shortstacks don't usually call 88/99 here pre if they're decent. How about stove AQ/QQ/KK/JJ/QJs/TJs
    edit: add one of 88 or 99 to that range
    Last edited by daven; 01-18-2012 at 04:28 PM.
  3. #3
    You have more than enough equity vs his range to get it in. I'd say you have anywhere between +/- 40-50% without even stoving it (yes I'm being lazy). He's got AQ, JJ, KK and the occasional KQ enough here to make us monies.
    Last edited by StarGrinder; 01-18-2012 at 04:41 PM.
  4. #4
    Join Date
    Nov 2010
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    1,060
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    St. Shawshanks Infant School
    I thought so. fucking weird people these shorties I dont understand what they're up to. I mean why would you raise this flop IP? protection? I dont get it.
    vs QQ+ AQ im 65% favourite
    vs 88+ TJs QJs QKs AQ im 58%
    Last edited by kickass; 01-18-2012 at 04:51 PM.
  5. #5
    I've no idea why he would bet out mate but I've seen (and I do) sometimes call with J10s - I know I'm a pure fish!

    Saying that tho, betting out makes it look like he's at it as your going to call him as he's so short if you've got QK or anything higher!
  6. #6
    JKDS's Avatar
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    Feb 2008
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    6,780
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    Chandler, AZ
    Get it in, expect to lose a lot.

    His range is like...exactly 88,99, AQ isnt it? Hes someone that rarely calls pre, and is calling an UTG raise. If he had a habbit of calling with hands like suited connectors or small pairs it would have very likely shown itself by now i think..likewise with calling with broadways including KQ. He likely 3bets QQ, but he might spazz with JJ or TT here. So his range is super tight...but we still have 50% against 88,99, AQ...so just get it in.

    @raising flop: why wouldnt villain raise? If you fold everything to a raise thats one reason...otherwise your range is strong so its a value raise from villain. so i dont get it here.
    Last edited by JKDS; 01-18-2012 at 08:48 PM.

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