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AA & QQ @ 10nl
I am in a tough spot in this hand as SB has me covered and we are playing this 150bb deep. SB is 30/9/0 over 33 hands, which isn't a big sample but it does tell me that he is likely to call any pocket pair. In theory i would need to raise to about 1.40 to prevent implied odds, but i will lose too much equity doing that so, i need to play pooookah. That's the logic behind my preflop raise.
On the flop SB took several seconds to make up his decision so i had feeling that he was thinking about what to do or just distracted. In either case I didn't like it decided to give away a free card. SB range right now is wide includes 22+ ak, maybe even some suited connectors, which have lightly hit this flop.
His turn bet singled that he is either trying to keep the few draws cheap or trying to extra value. Since I already based on timing suspect he had something big (set) i just called. And the big river is tough one, since i sucpect he has a strong hand but his range is still very wide and includes sets and tons of pocket pairs that could make a bet like that against 22+, though 77-tt isn't likely to make this bet and kk-aa reraise me pre.
43% { AdAs }
57% { QQ-JJ, 66-22}
So I have equity to cal since im getting 2:1.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
UTG+1 ($1.65)
MP1 ($4.90)
MP2 ($3.85)
Hero (CO) ($14.70)
Button ($2)
SB ($24.60)
BB ($21.45)
UTG ($4.30)
Preflop: Hero is CO with A , A
3 folds, MP2 bets $0.20, Hero raises to $0.70, 1 fold, SB calls $0.65, 1 fold, MP2 calls $0.50
Flop: ($2.20) 5 , 6 , 2 (3 players)
SB checks, MP2 checks, Hero checks
Turn: ($2.20) 2 (3 players)
SB bets $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
River: ($3.70) 3 (3 players)
SB bets $3.10, 1 fold, Hero calls $3.10
Total pot: $9.90 | Rake: $0.45
Villain is 23/17/11 over 35 hands.
On flop the villains range is pretty wide includes 22-qq(though qq is debatable, though it is only one combination) aqs,aqo,jts,kqs and maybe ako and aks as though are likely 3 bet hands.
So im killing his range thus betting is smart. Raise sucks. So i need to narrow it down to jts, jj,qq,88. I have 53 equity against this and this is without throwing in kqh qjh, which are possible. There is so much shit that can come on later streets that would make playing this hand impossible out of position, thus if I want to play this hand I have to shove. And I shove because I am ahead of his range, though I am behind his calling range. Not quite sure how to refine this thought process, help appreciated.
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($4.95)
Button ($7.25)
SB ($10.65)
BB ($5)
UTG ($16.90)
Hero (UTG+1) ($11.90)
MP1 ($12.95)
MP2 ($10.90)
MP3 ($11.15)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q , Q
1 fold, Hero bets $0.50, 4 folds, Button calls $0.50, 2 folds
Flop: ($1.15) 8 , 10 , 10 (2 players)
Hero bets $0.80, Button raises to $2.10, Hero raises to $11.40 (All-In), Button calls $4.65 (All-In)
Turn: ($14.65) 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)
River: ($14.65) 4 (2 players, 2 all-in)
Total pot: $14.65 | Rake: $0.70
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