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AA on paired flop

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  1. #1
    Razvan729's Avatar
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    Default AA on paired flop

    to my shame i still dont know the best way to play this hand.

    opp is 19/10/34 AFq over 91 hands

    i have no specific reads on him, seen him twice at SD where he showed a QJs made straight called a UTG open from BUTTON and he shoved turn, and a 77 set (he opened UTG+1, got called by CO with AKo) where he c/c to river on AK792

    i bet to get value from AcKc, QQ,KK, maybe even TT,99. there is only one combo left of JJ so i am pretty confident he aint got it. when he called and then ck turn i remembered the way he played his 7set and really blocked. its hard for me to put a opp with his stats on 44/AJ but its not imposible. also what seemed strange to me is that he generally opens 4bb, now he opened just 3bb.

    do i over analyze here? is a b 2/3 /f here bad? should i just c/f? doesnt c/f here make me too exploitable in spots like this?

    we have 6*QQ+6*KK+ 1* AcKc=13 combos i beat and there are
    3*44+3*33+JJ+6*AJ=13 combos that i beat... so i would be 50/50 to combos count and stove also gives me 53% equity against AcKc, 44,33,JJ, AJ
    i am not sure he is calling 33 on flop if he has it, but i count it just to make sure i miss no combo that beats me
    how would you play turn here and why?


    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

    saw flop

    MP3 ($9.07)
    Hero (CO) ($5)
    Button ($9.33)
    SB ($5.13)
    BB ($5.45)
    UTG ($5)
    UTG+1 ($4.38)
    MP1 ($5.65)
    MP2 ($14.78)

    Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
    1 fold, UTG+1 bets $0.15, 3 folds, Hero raises to $0.45, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.30

    Flop: ($0.97) 4, J, J (2 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.93, UTG+1 calls $0.93

    Turn: ($2.83) 3 (2 players)
    UTG+1 checks
    Last edited by Razvan729; 02-10-2011 at 01:04 PM.

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