|
 Originally Posted by Outlaw
One question, what was your preflop plan vs him?
It should have been get it all in no matter what..
He is giving you that chance, take it.
And remember 1.1AF for a guy running 90VPIP is a lot higher than it looks.. I don't know the math but it's probably comparable to 3.0 AF for a guy running 20/12. (feel free to correct me on this)
I would check his flop/ turn AF for a better indicator.
AF is a stat that is a bit skewed because it fails to take checking into account. The formula for how AF is calculated is (bets+raises)/calls.
Taking this into account, a person that check/folds will actually have a (correctly) high AF stat. That is, because the checking and folding is not included in the calculation. If one were to want to raise their AF, all they would have to do is actually start folding in places where they normally would call.
This being said, let's consider the villian in this hand, who is running 91/4/1.1. Like Outlaw mentioned, his aggression is a lot higher than it looks. But why? The answer lies in two things mainly. a) His vpip indicates that he obviously has a super wide range (ATC let's just say) and b) his fold to c-bet. If he's playing 90% of flops and has an AF of 1.1, he's betting or raising just as much as he's calling. If this guy rarely check/folds, then he's playing his weak range aggressively as much as he is calling with it. This is where fold to C-bet comes into play. Generally opponents (especially at these lower limits) are one of two things:
1) Players with high Fold to C-bet, they are playing for TPTK or better and fold if they don't hit.
2) Players with low Fold to C-bet, they are playing for anything and calling with draws or even something stupid like bottom pair.
The higher this stat is, the more cautiously I play if I'm past the flop and they're still sticking around.
Basically in this situation villian is a bit more aggro than he looks, but I still probably fold to the turn shove considering I don't see why he would have the balls to shove without something better than freak two pair. Again, depends on what reads you have on him.
|