i'm certainly betting this flop. though i'm uncertain about my reasoning for doing so. while it's true we are rarely ahead of his range when called, i think a cbet is in order to "protect our equity", not that i really like that term, against the missed broadways which have 25%ish equity and never give us a street of value unless they improve. he is probably going to be folding enough to make a +EV cbet in a vacuum based on fold equity, and our hand is vulnerable to a lot of turn cards. plus we're OOP. that logic could well be faulty though.

once he calls i'm check/folding the turn without specific reads that he likes to float, such as low abnormally low fold to flop cbet, high turn AFq etc.