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5nl QQ deep OOP
main villain is 19/3 over small sample. button is 11/8 over 158. i'm feeling crushed by his range when he raises the turn although we have little history to know how he plays. i'm more interested in what you guys think about my bet. i realised that they both definitely had sets in their ranges and didnt expect to be bluffed much. thus i was planning to bet/fold because i doubt either would be good enough to use their stack size and position to make me have to fold an overpair with a FD. the 19/3 could also have 35s - small sample but i've noticed a few guys with big gaps between VPIP and PFR often call raises with suited/remotely connectables because they saw daniel negreanu do it, or they are geniuses and realise that deep stack play tailors itself towards drawing hands implied odds blah blah blah. do you guys think bet/folding this turn is ok? i expect to be smoothed by 77-JJ a decent amount, as well as flush draws. so there is arguably value. but my main reason for bet/folding was to let them raise with what i assumed would only be straights/full houses/trips and save me from a deepstacked OOP river nightmare. that is probably just a product of my paranoia. i'm not sure if bet/folding really works here. thoughts?
the raise sizing doesnt suggest to me that its ever a flush draw. this would be way too clever a play for these 5nl guys because it puts me in such a tough river spot but would require them to realise i have an overpair and am able to realise the danger of playing overpairs deepstacked on these kind of boards. its also the perfect size the give me the impression of RIO and simultaneously the cheapest price to semi-bluff me. i dont know much about the minraiser so he may be of the "i'll put in a little raise to see if my pairs any good" school. how do you react?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (7 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
BB ($5)
UTG ($7.49)
MP1 ($3.56)
Hero (MP2) ($12.50)
CO ($12.61)
Button ($12.62)
SB ($5.38)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Q , Q
2 folds, Hero bets $0.20, CO calls $0.20, Button calls $0.20, 2 folds
Flop: ($0.67) 6 , 4 , 2 (3 players)
Hero bets $0.50, CO calls $0.50, Button calls $0.50
Turn: ($2.17) 4 (3 players)
Hero bets $1.75, CO raises $3.50,
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