5NL FR - JTo OTB 3-way, turned nut straight on 3-flush board

[daviddem]

You missed AhJc and AdJc as well, and Villain will sometimes, but not often, call the turn with one pair + gutshot. The part that really bugs me here is that you have no read to explain why you think he's going to flat QQ+, AK and you're just assuming he will because you've seen someone else do it before.

Fair enough, maybe I am being result oriented here and we should discount combos of QQ+,AK (but then probably some AQ as well?). I would discount combos, but not exclude them altogether though. When I have a bit of time I will do another stove.

On another note, do you think it is reasonable to slow play your big hands preflop facing a button steal (say button has a ATS of 40)? I mean if he is going to fold 80% of his range to a 3b, are we not making more money by letting him do mistakes post flop rather than mostly forcing him to play correctly preflop? This is assuming that button does not continue to 3b too often.

[The Norg]

On another note, do you think it is reasonable to slow play your big hands preflop facing a button steal (say button has a ATS of 40)? I mean if he is going to fold 80% of his range to a 3b, are we not making more money by letting him do mistakes post flop rather than mostly forcing him to play correctly preflop? This is assuming that button does not continue to 3b too often.

If he's folding 80% of his raising range to a 3b, shouldn't you be looking to 3b more rather than flat your big hands giving him the opportunity to hit innocuous looking flops with his wide range?

[daviddem]

If he's folding 80% of his raising range to a 3b, shouldn't you be looking to 3b more rather than flat your big hands giving him the opportunity to hit innocuous looking flops with his wide range?

Is it not +EV to do both? (until he adjusts at least)

[The Norg]

Is it not +EV to do both? (until he adjusts at least)

I'm not really sure it is, because when you flat the big hands OOP, you're presumably donking the flop with no definition of our villain's hand, but we've given him 3 cards for free to hit, and if he calls our donk bet we still really none the wiser as to whether he's got a hand or is floating us.

So we're at the turn, still pretty much in the dark on which part of his range we're facing, we check the turn that bricked, and bang, he puts in a PSB....

I would use the stop go to mix up how I deal with his stealing range, but your 3b range should still include your big hands as well as some light / bluffy hands for balance. We become too predictable otherwise.

[rpm]

On another note, do you think it is reasonable to slow play your big hands preflop facing a button steal (say button has a ATS of 40)? I mean if he is going to fold 80% of his range to a 3b, are we not making more money by letting him do mistakes post flop rather than mostly forcing him to play correctly preflop?.

i think we definitely need to keep 3betting our nut range. imo the correct adjustment would be to 3bet a weaker range - not by removing nut hands but by adding more weaker ones to exploit their tendency to fold to 3bets so much.