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 Originally Posted by daviddem
[x] I forgot the ONE AsJc combo (not even sure he stacks off with it on the river though)
[x] AsJc? sick range brah
[ ] villain peels turn with one naked pair or pair + gutshot without FD
[x] villains often slow play AA, KK, QQ,AK preflop in the blinds facing a button steal and may check the flop intending to c/r (except w/ QQ obv.)
So I would call a shove here marginal. FWIW opinions on irc seemed 50/50. I'll give you that it's a shove if you exclude all premiums from his range on the basis that he 3b them 100% preflop. If not, it looks a bit thin to me.
I am also a bit at odds of what to do on the turn. Shoving seems like a really large overbet, raising without committing myself seems to be giving good odds to drawing hands...
You missed AhJc and AdJc as well, and Villain will sometimes, but not often, call the turn with one pair + gutshot. The part that really bugs me here is that you have no read to explain why you think he's going to flat QQ+, AK and you're just assuming he will because you've seen someone else do it before.
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