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 Originally Posted by Viscaro
QJ, J8, 78
I realise these are unlikely because his preflop range likely only includes QJs. However because it is a possibility, we should aim to get stacks in on turn because otherwise he can play river perfectly (ship when he hits, fold otherwise).
I really doubt he's capable of laying down top pair for 50bbs so it shouldn't affect how much we win in that case.
The only reason I can see for raising this small is to give him extra percieved fold equity to make it more likely he shoves over our bet. However I don't the % chance of him doing that is significantly higher than if we just put in a pot sized raise.
I raise "small" (2/3rd PSB) because I am trying to get called by the most likely part of his range at this point, which I think is KK-JJ. I think he would cbet bigger if he had an A although I can't completely exclude aces from his range at this stage. As for J8 and 78, come on, he has a PFR of 8 and is UTG+1, these are not in his range. At best he has QJs.
As played, I agree with Daven to bet the turn smaller to commit it him while making a call more tempting (maybe not as small as $0.5 because of some flush draws he might have picked up, but surely smaller than $0.9).
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